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These 3 Computing Technologies Will Beat Moore’s Law

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There’s a big lie about disruption going around. And folks aren’t spreading it intentionally.

Many smart investors I talk to genuinely believe it to be the truth.

If you accept this widespread lie, you’ll likely make poor decisions when investing in disruptive companies.

Here, I’ll explain the real truth and why it matters to disruption investors.

Your Smartphone Is More Powerful than an Early ‘90s Supercomputer

Your smartphone can do the job of a whole collection of gadgets.

It’s a phone, camera, camcorder, Walkman, watch, wallet, radio, global map, TV, VCR, and computer all in one.

And keep in mind, all a supercomputer does is crunch numbers. We have “Moore’s law” to thank for this.

Named after Intel founder Gordon Moore, it observes that computing power doubles roughly every two years.

This has led to exponential growth in computing power.

As you may know, exponential growth “snowballs” over time. It builds momentum and eventually leads to vertical gains, as you can see here:

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For the past few decades, computing power has more or less followed this path.

This Is the Driving Force Behind Moore’s Law

Moore’s Law says the number of transistors that can fit on a computer chip doubles about every two years.

Transistors allow computers to compute. The more transistors you cram onto a chip, the more computing power it has.

Again, for the past 50 years, this has more or less held true. Back in 1965, only 64 transistors fit on the world’s most complex computer chip.

More than 10 billion transistors can fit on today’s chips.

Moore’s law is responsible for many of the giant stock market gains in the past few decades.

Leaps in computing power enabled big disruptors like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon to achieve huge gains like 50,800%, 159,900%, and 111,560%.

And along the way, the companies that make the computer chips have gotten rich, too.

Taiwan Semiconductor, Micron Technology, and Intel achieved gains of 1,014%, 3,256%, and 35,050%.

Conventional wisdom is that Moore’s law will continue to snowball. As progress gets faster and faster, you can understand why many folks think we’re headed for a tech utopia.

It’s a great story. But it’s not quite true.

Moore’s Law Will Break Down

Moore’s law isn’t really a law. Gravity is a law. Moore’s law is an observation and a forecast.

As I mentioned, since 1965, it has held true. But here’s the key…

Within the next few years, Moore’s law will break down.

You see, although today’s transistors are microscopic, they still take up physical space. There’s a limit to how small you can make anything that occupies physical space.

We are now approaching that limit with transistors. So the progress predicted by Moore’s law must slow.

In fact, Moore’s law is already slowing down. Many technologists predict it will totally break down between 2022–2025.

Does that mean progress will stop?

Not a chance.

New technologies will pick up where Moore’s law leaves off. There are three exciting computing technologies in development you should know about.

3D Computing Hits the Market Later This Year

What does a city do when it runs short on land? It builds skyscrapers.

By building “up,” you can create real estate with the footprint of a one-story building, but one that holds 100X more people.

Something similar is just getting underway in computing.

You see, the “guts” of computers have always been two dimensional. Flat computer chips sit on a flat motherboard. Nothing moves in 3D. There’s no “up” or “down” inside a computer chip.

That’s now changing. In December, Intel (INTC) introduced its new 3D chip technology. It plans to begin selling it later this year.

Tech reporters are touting it as “how Intel will beat Moore’s law.”

Chips stacked in 3D are far superior to ones placed side by side. Not only can you fit multiples of transistors in the same footprint. You can better integrate all the chip’s functions.

This shortens the distance information needs to travel. And it creates many more pathways for information to flow.

The result will be much more speed and power packed into a small space. Eventually, 3D chips could be 1,000 times faster than existing ones.

DNA Computing Is a Bit Further off, but Its Potential Is Mind-Boggling

DNA carries the instructions that enable life.

As incredible as it sounds, DNA can be used for computing. In 1994, a computer scientist at the University of Southern California used DNA to solve a well-known mathematical problem.

One pound of DNA has the capacity to store more information than all the computers ever built.

A thumbnail-size DNA computer could theoretically be more powerful than today’s supercomputers.

I won’t get deep into the science here. DNA computing is still very early stage. But several companies, including Microsoft (MSFT), are working to push the technology forward.

Quantum Computing Could Be the Ultimate Disruption

The science behind quantum computing will bend your mind. To understand its potential, all you really need to know is this.

The basic unit of conventional computation is the bit. The more bits a computer has, the more calculations it can perform at once, and the more powerful it is.

With quantum computing, the basic unit of computation is called a quantum bit—or qubit.

Bits behave linearly. To get a 20-bit computer, you might add 2+2+2+2+2+2+2+2+2+2.

Qubits are different. Every qubit doubles computing power.

So, a 10-qubit computer could do 2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2 calculations at once, or 1,024.

A 100-qubit quantum computer could perform over 1,000 billion billion billion simultaneous calculations. Those numbers are too big for humans to comprehend.

In theory, a small quantum computer could exceed the power of a regular computer the size of the Milky Way galaxy.

With enough computing firepower, a quantum computer could solve any problem.

If we ever achieve far-out goals like controlling the weather, colonizing Mars, or reversing human aging, quantum computing will likely be the driving force.

There Are No Pure-Play Quantum Computing Stocks

They’re all private or have been scooped up by larger companies.

Many of the big tech players are developing quantum computing technology. Microsoft, IBM, Google (GOOG), and Intel are a few.

Google looks to be in the lead.

In March 2018, it unveiled its Bristlecone quantum processor, which the company thinks could achieve “quantum supremacy.”

Quantum supremacy is the “tipping point” for quantum computing. It’s the point when a quantum computer can beat a regular one in a useful task.

So far, scientists haven’t been able to crack this. But once quantum supremacy is reached, progress should take off very quickly.

This is yet another great reason to consider investing in Google.

Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/stephenmcbride1/2019/04/23/these-3-computing-technologies-will-beat-moores-law/#d14179a37b0b

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The Future

Apple to introduce iPhone with smaller notch in 2020

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In 2017, Apple introduced the iPhone X which brought about a new design language to the smartphone market. Since then, almost all smartphone manufacturers have taken design cues from Apple to implement an all-screen design along with a notch at the top. Also, the design is now almost three years old with the iPhone 11 being the third phone to use the recycled design.

All eyes are on 2020, the year when Apple is expected to introduce an iPhone with a new design. Some rumours point to the return of the industrial design of the iPhone 4 with the chamfered edges that people loved. However, it’s pretty clear that next year’s iPhone will sport a much smaller notch compared to the humongous bar on the iPhone 11.

Honey, I shrunk the notch!

Apple to introduce iPhone with smaller notch in 2020 2

It’s also possible that Apple decides to stick to the same notch as of the iPhone 11 but its a clear move as the company would have figured out a way to pack the same or powerful components in a smaller package. We have heard from multiple sources regarding the same which seems to confirm the new change.

2019 has been a year where Apple listened to its users and its critiques to bring about changes that actually matter and improve the user experience. The 2019 iPhones are thicker and heavier as they pack larger batteries which improve the iPhone’s battery life marginally compared to the previous generation models. The 16” MacBook Pro is also thicker and heavier while packing a larger battery and a traditional keyboard mechanism which is much more reliable compared to the butterfly keyboard found on the 2015-2019 MacBooks.

Thicc is the new cool

New Apple MacBook Pro
16″ MacBook Pro packs a 96Wh battery and an improved keyboard

If Apple continues to improvise by listening to its biggest critiques, then we expect the company to introduce the next iPhone with a USB-C port instead of the proprietary Lightning port.

Source:
https://www.ilounge.com/news/iphone-smaller-notch

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The Future

A new Half-Life game is in development, Valve confirms

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We had heard whispers, and it turns out the rumors were true – game developer Valve is set to release Half-Life: Alyx.

In a tweet from the official Valve Twitter account, the company described the upcoming release as its “flagship VR game”.

Valve@valvesoftware

We’re excited to unveil Half-Life: Alyx, our flagship VR game, this Thursday at 10am Pacific Time.

Can’t wait to share it with all of you!

View image on Twitter

92.1K12:12 AM – Nov 19, 2019Twitter Ads info and privacy38.6K people are talking about this

So far, information about the new game is scant, but Valve will unveil further details about Half-Life: Alyx this Thursday, November 21 at 10am PT (6pm GMT / Friday, November 22 at 5am AEDT).

Those familiar with the Half-Life series may recognize the name Alyx from the game’s universe.

Alyx Vance is a young woman and prominent character who first appeared in Half-Life 2, where she was a major player in the human resistance against the Combine – and a close friend of the game’s main protagonist, Gordon Freeman.

Talk of a new Half-Life title kicked off when an alleged interview transcript between Valve executives was leaked online.

A quote from the leaked transcript credits a ‘Geoff’ – believed to be games broadcaster Geoff Keighley – as stating: “March 2020, ‘Half-Life: Alyx’ comin’ out.”

The same transcript also suggested the VR game would be revealed at The Game Awards on December 12 – however Valve’s new tweet suggests it may be unveiled much sooner than anticipated.

The announcement of a ‘flagship’ VR game follows Valve’s release of its own dedicated VR headset – the Valve Index – earlier this year.

When the Index was first announced, the company stated it would be releasing a flagship VR game before the end of the year – and it certainly seems like Half-Life: Alyx is it. Whatever the case, we’ll know more this Thursday.

Source: https://www.techradar.com/news/a-new-half-life-game-is-in-development-valve-confirms

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The Future

IPhone 12 Coming Soon? Apple Might Release ‘Most Dramatic Designs’

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New phone, who this?

We are still reveling in Apple’s latest releases – iPhone 11, pro and pro max – and next thing, we hear there’s a 12 series already in the works! What a time to be alive!

There have been so many rumours about Apple’s iPhone designs for every time a new model is about to be launched but, over at 9to5Mac, experts have a little information on what we should expect.

Experts at 9t05Mac say the notch-free design shown in a previously released render of the 2020 Apple models is unlikely to show something that will come to fruition. The latest take, however, moves us into far more feasible territory.

According to reports from supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo and PhoneArena-crafted renders, we can possibly expect to get a design update that leans into slab-like territory that should be familiar to those who recall the harder aesthetic choices that defined the iPhone 4 era.

These predictions also include the possibility of smaller notches and a quad-camera aesthetic (to accommodate the rumored implementation of a Time-of-Flight camera), which, according to CNET, could theoretically be used as an assist piece in AR mapping and/or the addition of Portrait Mode when shooting video.

Source: https://guardian.ng/life/iphone-12-coming-soon-apple-might-release-most-dramatic-designs/

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